While some researchers suggest that conscious AI is close at hand, others, including me, believe it remains far away and might not be possible at all. But even if unlikely, it is unwise to dismiss the possibility altogether.

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• We hypothesize that AI consciousness may be realized in the near term if AI capabilities continue to develop, given that researchers have intentionally reproduced computational features associated with human consciousness.hypothesis0.831
  Motivates urgency of the assessment method
• our analysis suggests that no current AI systems are conscious, but also suggests that there are no obvious technical barriers to building AI systems which satisfy these indicators.quote0.824
  Key takeaway from abstract, amended version.
• Expert convergence on the question of AI consciousness is unlikely in the near term.claim0.820
  Supports the premise that societal disagreement will persist rather than be resolved by scientific or philosophical authority.
• Given that it may already be possible to build AI systems that possess many of the indicators, some near-future AI systems will be plausible candidates for consciousness.claim0.816
  Forward-looking assessment of how soon the method's results may have major ethical implications
• Will some AI systems be conscious in the near future?question0.814
  Key empirical question for the consciousness route.
• There is a realistic possibility that some AI systems will be conscious and/or robustly agentic, and thus morally significant, in the near future.claim0.803
  Central thesis of the report.
• No current AI systems are conscious.claim0.802
  Overall assessment of current state; qualified by possibility.
• Recent AI advances are revolutionary but far from recapitulating human-like cognitive abilities or consciousness.claim0.802