Will some AI systems be conscious in the near future?

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• There is a realistic possibility that some AI systems will be conscious and/or robustly agentic, and thus morally significant, in the near future.claim0.891
  Central thesis of the report.
• No current AI systems are conscious.claim0.884
  Overall assessment of current state; qualified by possibility.
• our analysis suggests that no current AI systems are conscious, but also suggests that there are no obvious technical barriers to building AI systems which satisfy these indicators.quote0.861
  Key takeaway from abstract, amended version.
• Future AI systems could be rational autonomous agents without affective consciousness.claim0.858
  Practical significance: possible near-future non-sentient autonomous AI.
• Will some AI systems be robustly agentic in the near future?question0.837
  Key empirical question for the agency route.
• If computational functionalism is true, conscious AI systems could realistically be built in the near term.hypothesis0.835
  Conditional prediction about the feasibility of conscious AI.
• If it is possible at all to build conscious AI systems without radically new hardware, it may well be possible now.quote0.823
  Striking claim about feasibility.
• While some researchers suggest that conscious AI is close at hand, others, including me, believe it remains far away and might not be possible at all. But even if unlikely, it is unwise to dismiss the possibility altogether.quote0.814
  Anil Seth's cautionary statement, quoted in §1.1.