Will some AI systems be robustly agentic in the near future?

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• There is a realistic possibility that some AI systems will be conscious and/or robustly agentic, and thus morally significant, in the near future.claim0.879
  Central thesis of the report.
• Will some AI systems be conscious in the near future?question0.837
  Key empirical question for the consciousness route.
• Future AI systems could be rational autonomous agents without affective consciousness.claim0.805
  Practical significance: possible near-future non-sentient autonomous AI.
• Agentic AI Systemsconcept0.801
  Higher-level systems built on top of LLMs that produce and consume representations beyond next-token prediction; proposed as potential candidates for consciousness.
• Future more capable AI systems are at risk of alignment faking, whether for benign or malicious goalshypothesis0.789
  Central forward-looking hypothesis of the paper motivating the research
• our analysis suggests that no current AI systems are conscious, but also suggests that there are no obvious technical barriers to building AI systems which satisfy these indicators.quote0.786
  Key takeaway from abstract, amended version.
• Can Ai Systems Possess Genuine Embodiment And Agencyquestion0.783
• AI systems need to be able to deal with reality as it actually is, not with the way that we think it is.claim0.776
  Paraphrase of Cantwell Smith's argument; aligns with Buddhist emphasis on seeing reality without conceptual imposition.