hypothesis
active
hypothesis:shot-midpoint-ordering-k50-b10-k50-b8-k50-b9-and-transition-widths-correlate-with-mismatch-d-p0-ptShot midpoint ordering k50(B10) < k50(B8) ≈ k50(B9) and transition widths correlate with mismatch D(P0∥PT)
Testable prediction for Experiment 2
Source paper
extracted_from(2025) · Edward Yi Chang · Kaya, Zeyneb N. · Ethan Chang
Neighborhood — ranked by edge-count
Findings (1)
finding
- B10 shot midpoint k50 = 0.28 ± 0.05 shots with accuracy 94.8 ± 1.2%answered_bysupportsLowest threshold condition in E2; near-zero/one-shot threshold consistent with high pretraining density
Claims (1)
claim
- E2 main interpretive claim.
Concepts (1)
concept
- shot midpoint k50gatesNumber of in-context exemplars to reach 50% accuracy in E2.
Related by similarity (8)
cosine ≥ 0.65 · no typed edgeEntities in the same semantic neighborhood but without a typed relation to this one — candidates for new edges or unrecognized duplicates.
- Interpretation that pattern density from pretraining determines few-shot requirements
- Hypothesis: Shot midpoint ordering k50(B10) < k50(B8) ≈ k50(B9) follows pretraining exposure densityhypothesis0.895E2 prediction that bases with higher pretraining exposure require fewer shots to cross threshold
- Interpretation of E2 results.
- Shot midpoints follow k50 ∝ dr/ρd; higher cohesion and lower mismatch yield fewer required examplesclaim0.852Core quantitative prediction of UCCT validated by E2 threshold ordering
- Monotone ordering consistent with k50 ∝ dr/ρd.
- Transition widths ∆k increase with mismatch D(P0 ∥ PT), evidenced by wider widths from B10 to B9claim0.794Interpretive claim linking phase width in E2 to mismatch term in UCCT
- Hypothesis: Peak alignment location S_max and normalized trajectory area AUS_N predict shot midpoints θ50hypothesis0.776E3 prediction that internal geometry provides a bridge to behavioral thresholds
- Widest transition in E2; consistent with lower prior density requiring more shots for reliable threshold crossing