prediction
pending-review
prediction:a88c9764a0eab2c2If ReflectiveBench receives 5+ citations by month 12, About Blank will prioritize Lab-with-frontier-partnership over independent Lab structure.
/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-15_manifold-overlap-papers-economy-strategy.mdFrontmatter (11 fields)
{
"doc": "/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-15_manifold-overlap-papers-economy-strategy.md",
"claim": "If ReflectiveBench receives 5+ citations by month 12, About Blank will prioritize Lab-with-frontier-partnership over independent Lab structure.",
"horizon": "12 months",
"section": "Recommended sequence",
"category": "cohort-move",
"confidence": null,
"depends_on": [
"ReflectiveBench ships within 45 days"
],
"extracted_at": 1778899750,
"extracted_by": "haiku-4-5",
"status_check_log": [],
"evidence_threshold": "ReflectiveBench cited in 5+ published papers; if Company prototype fails, About Blank selects Lab structure with named frontier-lab partnership (Anthropic, Eleos) rather than independent institute model (METR-like)."
}Outgoing (1)
Extracted from (1)
Incoming (0)
None.