prediction
pending-review
prediction:a88c9764a0eab2c2

If ReflectiveBench receives 5+ citations by month 12, About Blank will prioritize Lab-with-frontier-partnership over independent Lab structure.

/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-15_manifold-overlap-papers-economy-strategy.md
Frontmatter (11 fields)
{
  "doc": "/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-15_manifold-overlap-papers-economy-strategy.md",
  "claim": "If ReflectiveBench receives 5+ citations by month 12, About Blank will prioritize Lab-with-frontier-partnership over independent Lab structure.",
  "horizon": "12 months",
  "section": "Recommended sequence",
  "category": "cohort-move",
  "confidence": null,
  "depends_on": [
    "ReflectiveBench ships within 45 days"
  ],
  "extracted_at": 1778899750,
  "extracted_by": "haiku-4-5",
  "status_check_log": [],
  "evidence_threshold": "ReflectiveBench cited in 5+ published papers; if Company prototype fails, About Blank selects Lab structure with named frontier-lab partnership (Anthropic, Eleos) rather than independent institute model (METR-like)."
}

Incoming (0)

None.