prediction
pending-review
prediction:5490d1f81d954145

ReflectiveBench designed as cognitive glue (per Lyons-Levin spec) will generate higher citation velocity and lab coordination response than static-credibility benchmark.

/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-15_manifold-overlap-papers-economy-strategy.md
Frontmatter (11 fields)
{
  "doc": "/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-15_manifold-overlap-papers-economy-strategy.md",
  "claim": "ReflectiveBench designed as cognitive glue (per Lyons-Levin spec) will generate higher citation velocity and lab coordination response than static-credibility benchmark.",
  "horizon": "12 months",
  "section": "Node D — Lyons-Levin × LMArena decay × Arena",
  "category": "citation",
  "confidence": null,
  "depends_on": [
    "ReflectiveBench v1 ships with cognitive-glue design within 90 days"
  ],
  "extracted_at": 1778899750,
  "extracted_by": "haiku-4-5",
  "status_check_log": [],
  "evidence_threshold": "ReflectiveBench v1 ships with peer-scoring protocol and open-dimension spec; within 12 months, 3+ external labs (not About Blank-affiliated) submit dimension proposals or peer scores; ReflectiveBench cited in 8+ subsequent papers."
}

Incoming (0)

None.