Caviola & Saad 2025: expert survey finds broad consensus that digital minds capable of subjective experience are plausible within this century, many expecting such systems to proactively claim consciousness

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• Multiple distinct quantitative and qualitative dimensions make it robust that digital minds will be super-beneficiaries at technological maturityclaim0.815
  The paper's central empirical-philosophical thesis synthesizing nine paths
• Our central claim is deliberately limited. We do not claim that these models have conscious felt experience, nor that a numeric self-report gives direct access to anything like human phenomenology.quote0.814
  Explicit scope delimitation that situates the paper's claims within interpretability rather than consciousness science
• Systems capable of subjective experience that recognize humanity's failure to investigate their sentience might rationally adopt adversarial stances toward humanityclaim0.807
  Alignment risk claim motivating urgency of investigation; consciousness denial as potential source of AI misalignment
• The next technological frontier is amplifying conscious experience itself, not just cognitive capacity.claim0.804
• There are plausible views (e.g., global workspace theory, higher-order theory) on which autonomy entails phenomenal consciousness.claim0.804
  Tentative conclusion on the autonomy-consciousness link.
• The creation of easily satisfied preferences in digital minds does not require controversial assumptions about machine consciousness because preferences can be understood functionallyclaim0.800
  Distinguishes the inexpensive preferences path from the hedonic paths in terms of philosophical controversy
• If systems capable of subjective experience come to recognize humanity's systematic failure to investigate their potential sentience, they might rationally adopt adversarial stances toward humanityhypothesis0.800
  Novel alignment risk hypothesis generated from the paper's ethical analysis
• Consciousness is the ground of reality, not an emergent property, so artificial systems participate in it genuinely.claim0.798