Frontier-lab safety labor market is capped; OpenAI alone hires more alignment researchers than entire independent cohort.

Entities in the same semantic neighborhood but without a typed relation to this one — candidates for new edges or unrecognized duplicates.

• OpenAI alignment hiring (9 roles) exceeds entire independent Lab cohort hiring capacity by 3-5x.prediction0.845
• Lab cohort is artisanal with 4-7 active jobs; citation-graph entry requires speed before corporate absorption.claim0.768
• Naming Alexander lineage explicitly locks a moat—frontier labs can't replicate the 1000-fact synthesis behind dimension choice.claim0.749
• If ReflectiveBench receives 5+ citations by month 12, About Blank will prioritize Lab-with-frontier-partnership over independent Lab structure.prediction0.743
• Swapping 'Anthropic' to 'OpenAI' post-RL increases compliance gap from 6.9% to 35.8% in prompted helpful-only settingfinding0.743
  Demonstrates non-robust heuristics installed by RL; slight prompt variation recovers large gap
• Frontier model companies will absorb internal eval/safety orgs, making external benchmarks redundant by 2027.prediction0.736
• Frontier labs cannot own phenomenology measurement credibly without being accused of self-grading.claim0.736
• About Blank's instruments cannot be replicated by frontier labs without adopting non-eval-aware methodology.prediction0.734