prediction
pending-review
prediction:d3597c0c012387c2

If About Blank defers publishing the second planned paper past Q4 2026, the build-to-defer pattern will persist across the About Blank publication arc.

/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-09_briefing_for_ozero.md
Frontmatter (11 fields)
{
  "doc": "/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-09_briefing_for_ozero.md",
  "claim": "If About Blank defers publishing the second planned paper past Q4 2026, the build-to-defer pattern will persist across the About Blank publication arc.",
  "horizon": "2026-12-31",
  "section": "7 — What's empirically blocking About Blank",
  "category": "cohort-move",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "depends_on": [
    "The 15 Properties of Aliveness paper will be published before Care as the Driver"
  ],
  "extracted_at": 1778899675,
  "extracted_by": "haiku-4-5",
  "status_check_log": [],
  "evidence_threshold": "No second paper (Care as the Driver or 15 Properties) published to aboutblank.pub by 2026-12-31"
}

Outgoing (1)

Incoming (0)

None.