External eval authority window closes within 12-18 months as frontier labs absorb eval+safety internally.

{
  "doc": "/Users/antonborzov/Documents/Claude/work/AboutBlank/strategy/2026-05-15_manifold-overlap-papers-economy-strategy.md",
  "claim": "External eval authority window closes within 12-18 months as frontier labs absorb eval+safety internally.",
  "horizon": "12-18 months",
  "section": "AI economy manifold",
  "category": "manifold-shift",
  "confidence": null,
  "depends_on": [],
  "extracted_at": 1778899750,
  "extracted_by": "haiku-4-5",
  "status_check_log": [],
  "evidence_threshold": "Frontier labs (Anthropic, OpenAI, Deepseek) ship internal phenomenology eval benchmarks; external eval companies (Arena Intelligence, Patronus, Vals) experience hiring/funding contraction or pivot away from benchmark authority."
}