claim
active
claim:a-model-s-final-answer-is-decodable-from-activations-far-earlier-in-cot-than-a-cot-monitor-can-detect-especially-for-easy-recall-based-mmlu-questions

A model's final answer is decodable from activations far earlier in CoT than a CoT monitor can detect, especially for easy recall-based MMLU questions

Key comparative finding showing activation probes outperform text-level monitors for early answer detection

Source paper

extracted_from
Reasoning Theater: Disentangling Model Beliefs from Chain-of-Thought
(2026) · Siddharth Boppana · Annabel Ma · Max Loeffler · Raphaël Sarfati +4

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cosine ≥ 0.65 · no typed edge

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cosine ≥ 0.90

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